Archive for the ‘North Carolina Politics’ Category

Is Hillary Closing the Gap in NC?

Tuesday, April 29th, 2008

Two recent North Carolina polls (both via Political Wire) show two very different results among Tar Heel Democrats. The first, from Rasmussen, finds Obama leading Hillary 51% to 37%. The second, from SurveyUSA, shows a closer race which Obama leads 49% to 44%.

So which poll is accurate? My own sense is that SurveyUSA is the more reliable of the two, and it supports my suspicion that the North Carolina primary will be closer than early polls suggested. Perhaps Easley’s endorsement has given Hillary a boost, but generally holds that races tighten as voters become more engaged.

Barring some major event (like maybe a John Edwards endorsement) I suspect Obama will win North Carolina, but not by double digits.

Easley to Endorse Hillary

Monday, April 28th, 2008

North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley is finally going to weigh in on the Democratic primary:

North Carolina Gov. Mike Easley will endorse Hillary Clinton’s White House bid, two sources close to the campaign tell CNN.

The endorsement could give the New York senator a boost in the state with one week to go until its crucial May 6 primary. Recent polling suggests Barack Obama currently holds a double-digit lead over Clinton there, though no polls have been released since Clinton’s win in Pennsylvania last week.

I still expect Obama to win the Tar Heel State, but this endorsement probably will close the margin. It will be interesting to see if Obama’s margin of victory is small enough that the pundits spin it as a Clinton victory.


North Carolina Libertarian

Wednesday, January 16th, 2008

A libertarian-leaning Republican, B.J. Lawson, is running for Congress in North Carolina’s 4th district. I doubt he will be able to defeat the entrenched David Price, but it would be nice.

Edwards’ End

Thursday, January 10th, 2008

I think this pretty much seals the fate of John Edwards, if it wasn’t already sealed:

A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina finds Sen. Hillary Clinton leading the Democratic presidential race with 31% support, followed by Sen. Barack Obama at 29% and John Edwards back at third place in his home state with 27%.

Edwards would be wise to start trying to cut a deal with whoever he thinks is going to win.

Thank God It’s Tuesday

Friday, May 4th, 2007

A Western NC based group wants Congress to establish five day weekends:

The idea actually first started as a promotional gimmick by the Asheville Convention and Visitors Bureau, which is spending more than $500,000 on the campaign.

The group, from of Asheville, N.C., then used its “Work Less Express” bus, live music and giveaways today to raise awareness of unused vacation days and pressure Congress for a two-day workweek.

Carolina Horserace

Thursday, April 12th, 2007

A poll finds Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) leading hypothetical candidate Brad Miller (D-NC) by a 44-33 margin. While the margin is fairly comfortable, there is some cause for concern:

Dole is below the 50% danger mark for incumbents. While Miller’s support still has plenty of room to grow amongst Democrats and African-Americans. It’s an uphill battle, but he would be competitive.

Via Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire.